The
following are questions that we are looking into for those belonging in the
Construction Business Category:
1.
Who will lead the future of the the construction industry?
2.
Is the market going to sustain a construction boom?
3.
Are material prices and supply going up too quickly?
4.
Is technology being used on the job site helps in increasing production output?
5.
To complete projects in a timely manner is there enough available labor?
Some
of the leading experts in the construction industry answer these five questions
to help pros and contractors understand what to expect in 2015.
1. FINDING TOMORROW’S PROS
Many
baby boomers retire in the construction industry retire in large numbers, thus
the need for a pipeline of future leaders and planning is an integral part in
the construction business. It remains a
primary challenge to finding and retaining:
a.
Effective leaders
b.
Executives
c.
Craftsmen
d.
Workers
In
late 2014, a survey AGC conducted:
a.
83 percent of the 1,086 contractors who responded said they were having trouble
filling one or more craft positions
b.
61 percent of respondents’ companies reported difficulty filling professional
positions — primarily project managers and supervisors.
“I
expect these pressures to intensify in 2015 now that the unemployment rate for
former construction workers has reached an eight-year low,” Simonson says.
We
will not ignore areas where skilled labor is at a premium. As a result, this
year of 2015 compensation costs are expected to rise quicker than they have in
previous years.
“The
industry is responding to pent-up demand for commercial projects that didn’t
happen during the long recession,” McCarthy’s Lawrence says. “This translates
to a growing need for new, highly skilled workers, especially in areas where
the activity is greatest, like Texas, California and the Southwest — places
where the recovery of the housing bust is going on.”
2. CONSTRUCTION GROWTH
INCREASING
Overall
spending within the construction industry will be up in 2015.
FMI
reported that 2014 saw a 7 percent growth in construction for an annual total
of $972 billion. FMI, based in Raleigh, North Carolina, expects the growth to
continue to $1.04 trillion in 2015. FMI is a provider of:
a.
Management consulting
b.
Investment banking
c.
Development services
a.
Engineering
b.
Construction industry,
From
Mr. Brian Strawberry, research consultant for FMI said that, ““Growth in
nonresidential construction spending is also very much tied to improving
residential market conditions.” In 2014
, much of this growth is driven by private investment, as recorded with the
exceptional performance in markets of:
a.
Lodging
b.
Commercial
c.
Office
d.
Manufacturing
As
predicted by the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) in Arlington,
Virginia, there will be a comparable growth for the construction industry in
2015.
From
Mr. Ken Simonson, chief economist for AGC:
“Construction spending [rose] at a 6 percent rate, unadjusted for
inflation, in the first 11 months of 2014 combined, compared with the same span
in 2013. Expect spending to rise another 6 to 10 percent in 2015.”
3. SUPPLY & MATERIAL
PRICE EXPECTATIONS
In
November 2014, the price of construction materials was 0.6 percent higher
compared with November 2013, according to GE Capital’s 4Q 2014 Construction
Update. However, material prices declined 0.8 percent in November 2014 compared
with October 2014.
“In
2015, construction [supplies] and materials should see price increases in line
with GDP growth, which we forecast at 2.8 percent for 2015, throughout most of
the U.S. While occasional spikes may occur, we do not expect to see prolonged
above-trend price increases for any input materials,” says Jeffrey Englander,
senior vice president, senior research analyst for GE Capital, Norwalk,
Connecticut.
Pros
and contractors can expect a slight increase at the very least, despite the
unpredictable nature of material prices across the country.
“Although
there could be regional pockets of material price volatility, generally we are
expecting typical annual material price escalation rates of between 2 and 4
percent,” says Josh Lawrence, senior vice president and chief estimator with
McCarthy Building Cos Inc. in St. Louis.
A
function of global supply and demand is the prices of:
a.
Construction
materials
b. Supplies
“Materials
prices will raise in 2015, though probably not dramatically,” says Anirban
Basu, chief economist for Associated Builders and Contractors Inc., Washington,
D.C. “The world economy has slowed recently in many consequential markets,
including Europe, China and Russia. Such economic slowdowns decrease the demand
for materials. Additionally, the U.S. dollar continues to rise, which also
slows commodity and material price growth.”
4. TECHNOLOGY – GADGETS such
as PHABLET USE ON UPSWING
Phablets
— smartphones with a screen size between a cellphone and a tablet, gorilla
glass, with touch screen capability, quad core speed — commonly measure between
5 inches and 6.9 inches in length. One example is the iPhone 6 plus, which
measures 6.22 inches. A phablet can display drawings and detailed reports as
well as provide phone capabilities. A
wifi printing is also possible with these smart gadgets.
Many
contractors use tablets on the job site, previous years these devices lack
phone functionality. However, due to evolvement of technology, these gadgets
roll into one – phone and tab / mini laptop.
Phones
are excellent for communication but can make it difficult to view drawings and
reports. Phablets combine the best of both technologies and are expected to
carve out a large niche in the 2015 construction market.
“The
chief complaint of tablets on site is that the user is required to carry around
two devices: their own smartphone and the tablet,” says Lauren Hasegawa, co-founder
of Bridgit, a construction software developer, and author of the eBook “Where
We’re Headed: Construction Technology Trends for 2015.” “Also, because many
companies already provide a smartphone for their teams, the tablet is an
additional expense.” These were old
designs of gadgets, but already defeated by latest smartphone-tab gadgets since
last year.
In
2014, the consulting firm Deloitte predicted phablets would register between 30
percent and 40 percent of the global market, and plateau in 2015.
“Because
of the great fit of phablets in the construction industry and their many use
cases, we predict the penetration in construction will top that 40 percent,”
Hasegawa says.
5. INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT
INCREASING
Residential
building and specialty trade contractors added a combined 13,500 employees
during December and 132,100 (6.0 percent) over the past 12 months.
In
December 2014, construction industry employment hit a five-year high, as the
industry added 48,000 jobs, and the construction unemployment rate fell to 8.3
percent, the lowest rate for December in eight years, according to AGC.
Construction
employment totaled nearly 6.2 million in December, the highest total since
March 2009, with a 12-month gain of 290,000 jobs, or 4.9 percent.
Since
December 2013, Nonresidential contractors hired a net of 34,400 workers for the
month and 158,200 (4.3 percent).
“Construction
employment in December was 290,000 higher than in December 2013,” Simonson
says. “Consistent with my forecast for spending, I would expect employment to
rise by 250,000 to 300,000 in 2015.”
Axis
Capital Group in Jakarta not only provides reliable construction equipment but
their operations are equipped with high end systems and technologies to provide
efficient and fast operations to existing and new customers. Visit Axis
Capital Group in Jakarta website for more construction materials updates
and services.